Import value of many items increased sharply over the same period in , of which automobiles increased by One of the reasons for the sharp increase in the import value of items is that the import price index in the first 6 months of increased by 2. In which, import prices of some important products for processing and production increased: Other basic metals increased by Import and export turnover in June and 6 months of — Import turnover in 6 months grew higher than export turnover import increased by However, considering the structure of imported goods, the group of input materials accounted for A healthy economy is one where both exports and imports are experiencing growth.
This typically indicates economic strength and a sustainable trade surplus or deficit. If exports are growing, but imports have declined significantly, it may indicate that foreign economies are in better shape than the domestic economy. Conversely, if exports fall sharply but imports surge, this may indicate that the domestic economy is faring better than overseas markets.
For example, the U. This is the level at which U. However, the U. However, in general, a rising level of imports and a growing trade deficit can have a negative effect on one key economic variable, which is a country's exchange rate, the level at which their domestic currency is valued versus foreign currencies.
The exchange rate has an effect on the trade surplus or deficit, which in turn affects the exchange rate, and so on. In general, however, a weaker domestic currency stimulates exports and makes imports more expensive.
Conversely, a strong domestic currency hampers exports and makes imports cheaper. Assume the exchange rate is 50 rupees to the U. If the dollar were to strengthen against the Indian rupee to a level of 55 rupees to one U. This may force the Indian importer to look for cheaper components from other locations. At the same time, assuming again an exchange rate of 50 rupees to one U. If the rupee weakens to 55 rupees to one U.
When this scenario is multiplied by millions of transactions, currency moves can have a drastic impact on a country's imports and exports.
Inflation and interest rates affect imports and exports primarily through their influence on the exchange rate. Higher inflation typically leads to higher interest rates. Whether or not this results in a stronger currency or a weaker currency is not clear. Traditional currency theory holds that a currency with a higher inflation rate and consequently a higher interest rate will depreciate against a currency with lower inflation and a lower interest rate.
According to the theory of uncovered interest rate parity , the difference in interest rates between two countries equals the expected change in their exchange rate. So if the interest rate differential between two different countries is two percent, then the currency of the higher-interest-rate nation would be expected to depreciate two percent against the currency of the lower-interest-rate nation.
However, the low-interest-rate environment that has been the norm around most of the world since the global credit crisis has resulted in investors and speculators chasing the better yields offered by currencies with higher interest rates. This has had the effect of strengthening currencies that offer higher interest rates. Of course, since these investors have to be confident that currency depreciation will not offset higher yields, this strategy is generally restricted to the stable currencies of nations with strong economic fundamentals.
A stronger domestic currency can have an adverse effect on exports and on the trade balance. Higher inflation can also impact exports by having a direct impact on input costs such as materials and labor.
These higher costs can have a substantial impact on the competitiveness of exports in the international trade environment. This report is released monthly by most major nations. The U. Investments: Commodities. Investments: Derivatives. Investments: Energy.
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